New York City IIvs
Carolina Core
COMPLETEDUSA · MLS Next Pro · 6/17/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
New York City II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
New York City II are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Carolina Core are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and New York City II hold a 9.2-point power-rating edge (51.2 v 42.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.5% in the MLS Next Pro, while New York City II holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
New York City II
Probability
52.5%
Model confidence
52.5%
New York City II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20