New York City FCvs
Santos Laguna
COMPLETEDWorld · Leagues Cup · 8/6/2026, 11:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
New York City FC are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Santos Laguna are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and new York City FC hold a 37.8-point power-rating edge (56.2 v 18.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the Leagues Cup, favouring a draw with 10.8% confidence, a 58% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
23.1%
Model confidence
10.8%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80