New York City FCvs
Philadelphia Union
SCHEDULEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 8/16/2026, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
New York City FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
New York City FC are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Philadelphia Union are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and New York City FC hold a 13.1-point power-rating edge (54.0 v 40.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.0% in the Major League Soccer, while New York City FC holds the strongest overall chance at 64% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
New York City FC
Probability
63.7%
Model confidence
10.0%
New York City FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00