New York City FCvs
Orlando City SC
COMPLETEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 3/7/2026, 7:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
New York City FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1
New York City FC are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Orlando City SC are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and New York City FC hold a 17.4-point power-rating edge (54.0 v 36.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 69.7% in the Major League Soccer, while New York City FC holds the strongest overall chance at 70% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 81% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
New York City FC
Probability
69.7%
Model confidence
69.7%
New York City FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
GF 9 · GA 14 · avg 1.80/2.80