New York City FCvs
Necaxa
COMPLETEDWorld · Leagues Cup · 8/13/2026, 11:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
New York City FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
New York City FC are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Necaxa are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and New York City FC hold a 37.8-point power-rating edge (56.2 v 18.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.8% in the Leagues Cup, while New York City FC holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
New York City FC
Probability
59.0%
Model confidence
10.8%
New York City FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00