New York City FCvs
Inter Miami
COMPLETEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 3/22/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Inter Miami · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2
New York City FC are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWDL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Inter Miami are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Inter Miami hold a 12.6-point power-rating edge (54.0 v 66.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.6% in the Major League Soccer, while Inter Miami holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 78% BTTS chance and 79% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Inter Miami
Probability
39.0%
Model confidence
7.6%
Inter Miami has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40