New York City FCvs
FC Cincinnati
COMPLETEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 4/22/2026, 11:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
New York City FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-2
New York City FC are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while FC Cincinnati are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDLWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 3.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and New York City FC hold a 3.2-point power-rating edge (54.0 v 50.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.1% in the Major League Soccer, while New York City FC holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 82% BTTS chance and 87% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
New York City FC
Probability
54.1%
Model confidence
54.1%
New York City FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
GF 11 · GA 17 · avg 2.20/3.40