New York City FCvs
Charlotte
COMPLETEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 4/18/2026, 11:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
New York City FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
New York City FC are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDLWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Charlotte are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and New York City FC hold a 3.4-point power-rating edge (54.0 v 50.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.3% in the Major League Soccer, while New York City FC holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
New York City FC
Probability
47.3%
Model confidence
47.3%
New York City FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40
GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00