New York City FCvs
Austin
COMPLETEDWorld · Friendlies Clubs · 2/1/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Austin · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
New York City FC are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Austin are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WDLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Austin hold a 7.7-point power-rating edge (47.4 v 55.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.9% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Austin holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Austin
Probability
46.9%
Model confidence
10.9%
Austin has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60