GGOALVIO

Australia · Tasmania Southern Championship · 7/11/2026, 2:15:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

New Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2

Highconfidence

New Town are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDWLD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while South Hobart II are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 5.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and South Hobart II hold a 2.0-point power-rating edge (71.0 v 73.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.4% in the Tasmania Southern Championship, while New Town holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 82% BTTS chance and 86% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

New Town

Probability

51.4%

Model confidence

51.4%

New Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

New TownDDWLD

GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
South Hobart IIWLWWW

GF 25 · GA 4 · avg 5.00/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
New TownSouth Hobart II
100.0Attack100.0
64.6Defence56.3
66.7Form79.2
71.0Power73.0
2.90xG2.05
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