GGOALVIO

Australia · Tasmania Southern Championship · 3/28/2026, 1:15:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

New Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-1

Highconfidence

New Town are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 4.20 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Hobart City are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 10 passed 2.5 goals, and New Town hold a 10.8-point power-rating edge (71.0 v 60.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 70.0% in the Tasmania Southern Championship, while New Town holds the strongest overall chance at 70% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 81% BTTS chance and 91% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

New Town

Probability

70.0%

Model confidence

70.0%

New Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

New TownWWLLW

GF 21 · GA 10 · avg 4.20/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Hobart CityLDLWL

GF 9 · GA 15 · avg 1.80/3.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
New TownHobart City
100.0Attack85.4
64.6Defence41.7
66.7Form56.3
71.0Power60.2
4.04xG1.75
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