GGOALVIO

Australia · Tasmania Southern Championship · 7/18/2026, 4:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

New Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-1

Highconfidence

New Town are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDDWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Glenorchy Knights U21 are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 4.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and New Town hold a 44.2-point power-rating edge (71.0 v 26.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 80.4% in the Tasmania Southern Championship, while New Town holds the strongest overall chance at 80% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 73% BTTS chance and 90% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

New Town

Probability

80.4%

Model confidence

80.4%

New Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

New TownLDDWL

GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Glenorchy Knights U21LLLLD

GF 3 · GA 22 · avg 0.60/4.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 5/5
New TownGlenorchy Knights U21
100.0Attack72.5
64.6Defence0.0
66.7Form21.6
71.0Power26.8
4.50xG1.35
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