New Townvs
Glenorchy Knights U21
COMPLETEDAustralia · Tasmania Southern Championship · 7/18/2026, 4:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
New Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-1
New Town are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDDWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Glenorchy Knights U21 are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 4.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and New Town hold a 44.2-point power-rating edge (71.0 v 26.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 80.4% in the Tasmania Southern Championship, while New Town holds the strongest overall chance at 80% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 73% BTTS chance and 90% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
New Town
Probability
80.4%
Model confidence
80.4%
New Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80
GF 3 · GA 22 · avg 0.60/4.40