GGOALVIO

USA · USL Championship · 7/5/2026, 1:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

New Mexico United · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

New Mexico United are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DWDWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Oakland Roots are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDDWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and New Mexico United hold a 15.2-point power-rating edge (61.2 v 45.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 55.8% in the USL Championship, while New Mexico United holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

New Mexico United

Probability

55.8%

Model confidence

55.8%

New Mexico United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

New Mexico UnitedDWDWD

GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Oakland RootsWDDWL

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
New Mexico UnitedOakland Roots
52.1Attack41.7
64.6Defence51.7
62.5Form36.7
61.2Power45.9
1.70xG0.77
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