New Mexico Unitedvs
FC Tulsa
COMPLETEDUSA · USL Championship · 8/16/2026, 1:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
New Mexico United · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
New Mexico United are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while FC Tulsa are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDW), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and New Mexico United hold a 6.4-point power-rating edge (61.2 v 54.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 18.2% in the USL Championship, while New Mexico United holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 26% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
New Mexico United
Probability
42.6%
Model confidence
18.2%
New Mexico United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 4 · avg 2.80/0.80
GF 3 · GA 1 · avg 0.60/0.20