GGOALVIO

USA · USL Championship · 8/16/2026, 1:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

New Mexico United · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

New Mexico United are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while FC Tulsa are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDW), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and New Mexico United hold a 6.4-point power-rating edge (61.2 v 54.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 18.2% in the USL Championship, while New Mexico United holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 26% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

New Mexico United

Probability

42.6%

Model confidence

18.2%

New Mexico United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

New Mexico UnitedWWWWW

GF 14 · GA 4 · avg 2.80/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
FC TulsaLWWDW

GF 3 · GA 1 · avg 0.60/0.20

BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
New Mexico UnitedFC Tulsa
52.1Attack37.0
64.6Defence68.5
62.5Form53.7
61.2Power54.7
1.07xG0.70
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