New Mexico Unitedvs
Colorado Springs
COMPLETEDUSA · USL Championship · 8/2/2026, 1:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
New Mexico United · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
New Mexico United are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Colorado Springs are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and New Mexico United hold a 9.5-point power-rating edge (61.2 v 51.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.8% in the USL Championship, while New Mexico United holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
New Mexico United
Probability
49.8%
Model confidence
49.8%
New Mexico United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00
GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80