GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 2/21/2026, 7:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

New Mexico United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1

Highconfidence

New Mexico United are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Colorado Rapids II are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and New Mexico United hold a 49.6-point power-rating edge (65.0 v 15.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 55.3% in the Friendlies Clubs, while New Mexico United holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 80% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

New Mexico United

Probability

55.3%

Model confidence

55.3%

New Mexico United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

New Mexico UnitedLLWWW

GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Colorado Rapids IIDWWWW

GF 14 · GA 8 · avg 2.80/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
New Mexico UnitedColorado Rapids II
79.2Attack33.3
50.0Defence0.0
62.5Form0.0
65.0Power15.3
3.18xG1.27
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