GGOALVIO

Australia · NNSW League 1 · 4/10/2026, 10:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

New Lambton · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-0

Highconfidence

New Lambton are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WDLLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.60 conceded, while South Cardiff are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and New Lambton hold a 25.1-point power-rating edge (58.3 v 33.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 79.5% in the NNSW League 1, while New Lambton holds the strongest overall chance at 80% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 77% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

New Lambton

Probability

79.5%

Model confidence

79.5%

New Lambton has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

New LambtonWDLLL

GF 8 · GA 13 · avg 1.60/2.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
South CardiffWLLWW

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
New LambtonSouth Cardiff
75.9Attack27.8
44.4Defence38.9
59.3Form24.1
58.3Power33.2
3.36xG0.89
View match centre →