GGOALVIO

USA · Major League Soccer · 7/22/2026, 11:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

New England Revolution · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

New England Revolution are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Toronto FC are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and New England Revolution hold a 13.7-point power-rating edge (55.4 v 41.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 58.5% in the Major League Soccer, while New England Revolution holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

New England Revolution

Probability

58.5%

Model confidence

58.5%

New England Revolution has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

New England RevolutionLWLWW

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Toronto FCDLLLL

GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
New England RevolutionToronto FC
51.9Attack44.4
57.4Defence40.7
55.6Form31.5
55.4Power41.8
2.09xG1.00
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