GGOALVIO

USA · Major League Soccer · 5/13/2026, 11:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Nashville SC · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

New England Revolution are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Nashville SC are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DDWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Nashville SC hold a 17.3-point power-rating edge (55.4 v 72.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.7% in the Major League Soccer, while Nashville SC holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Nashville SC

Probability

52.7%

Model confidence

52.7%

Nashville SC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

New England RevolutionWWDWW

GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Nashville SCDDWWW

GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
New England RevolutionNashville SC
51.9Attack68.4
57.4Defence73.7
55.6Form75.4
55.4Power72.7
0.88xG1.69
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