New England Revolutionvs
Minnesota United FC
COMPLETEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 5/16/2026, 11:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
New England Revolution · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
New England Revolution are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Minnesota United FC are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and New England Revolution hold an 8.4-point power-rating edge (55.4 v 47.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.0% in the Major League Soccer, while New England Revolution holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
New England Revolution
Probability
53.6%
Model confidence
13.0%
New England Revolution has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20