GGOALVIO

USA · Major League Soccer · 5/16/2026, 11:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

New England Revolution · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

New England Revolution are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Minnesota United FC are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and New England Revolution hold an 8.4-point power-rating edge (55.4 v 47.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.0% in the Major League Soccer, while New England Revolution holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

New England Revolution

Probability

53.6%

Model confidence

13.0%

New England Revolution has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

New England RevolutionLWWDW

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Minnesota United FCLDWLW

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
New England RevolutionMinnesota United FC
51.9Attack37.0
57.4Defence53.7
55.6Form44.4
55.4Power47.1
1.60xG0.85
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