New England Revolutionvs
Houston Dynamo
COMPLETEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 8/8/2026, 8:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
New England Revolution are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWDLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Houston Dynamo are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and power ratings are near level at 55.4 against 56.2. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the Major League Soccer, favouring a draw with 13.5% confidence, a 55% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
28.2%
Model confidence
13.5%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
GF 8 · GA 2 · avg 1.60/0.40