GGOALVIO

USA · Major League Soccer · 4/4/2026, 8:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

New England Revolution · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

New England Revolution are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 2.80 scored and 2.00 conceded, while CF Montreal are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and New England Revolution hold a 17.7-point power-rating edge (55.4 v 37.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 62.9% in the Major League Soccer, while New England Revolution holds the strongest overall chance at 63% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

New England Revolution

Probability

62.9%

Model confidence

62.9%

New England Revolution has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

New England RevolutionLWLLW

GF 14 · GA 10 · avg 2.80/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
CF MontrealLLWLL

GF 7 · GA 14 · avg 1.40/2.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 5/5
New England RevolutionCF Montreal
51.9Attack44.4
57.4Defence35.2
55.6Form29.6
55.4Power37.8
2.30xG0.99
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