GGOALVIO

USA · Major League Soccer · 7/25/2026, 11:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

New England Revolution · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Mediumconfidence

New England Revolution are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Atlanta United FC are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLLDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and New England Revolution hold a 20.7-point power-rating edge (55.4 v 34.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.7% in the Major League Soccer, while New England Revolution holds the strongest overall chance at 68% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

New England Revolution

Probability

68.3%

Model confidence

12.7%

New England Revolution has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

New England RevolutionDLWLW

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Atlanta United FCDLLDL

GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
New England RevolutionAtlanta United FC
51.9Attack35.2
57.4Defence38.9
55.6Form22.2
55.4Power34.7
2.20xG0.77
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