GGOALVIO

USA · MLS Next Pro · 5/10/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

New England II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

New England II are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while New York City II are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLWLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and New England II hold a 9.5-point power-rating edge (60.7 v 51.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.7% in the MLS Next Pro, while New England II holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

New England II

Probability

52.7%

Model confidence

52.7%

New England II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

New England IIDLLWW

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
New York City IIWLWLL

GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
New England IINew York City II
54.0Attack55.6
61.9Defence46.0
61.9Form49.2
60.7Power51.2
1.98xG1.15
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