GGOALVIO

Bulgaria · Second League · 7/25/2026, 3:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Etar Veliko Tarnovo · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Nesebar are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DDWWW), averaging 4.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Etar Veliko Tarnovo are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWWLL), averaging 3.40 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Etar Veliko Tarnovo hold a 56.6-point power-rating edge (32.2 v 88.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.0% in the Second League, while Etar Veliko Tarnovo holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Etar Veliko Tarnovo

Probability

54.0%

Model confidence

54.0%

Etar Veliko Tarnovo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

NesebarDDWWW

GF 20 · GA 6 · avg 4.00/1.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 3/5
Etar Veliko TarnovoWWWLL

GF 17 · GA 15 · avg 3.40/3.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
NesebarEtar Veliko Tarnovo
44.4Attack88.9
11.1Defence77.8
33.3Form100.0
32.2Power88.8
0.98xG1.85
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