Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dobrudzha · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Nesebar are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 4.00 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Dobrudzha are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWDLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Dobrudzha hold a 58.0-point power-rating edge (16.3 v 74.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.0% in the Second League, while Dobrudzha holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Dobrudzha
Probability
51.5%
Model confidence
13.0%
Dobrudzha has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 20 · GA 12 · avg 4.00/2.40
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80