GGOALVIO

Lithuania · 1 Lyga · 5/16/2026, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Minija · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Neptūną Klaipėda are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWWLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Minija are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWW), averaging 3.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Minija hold a 21.7-point power-rating edge (61.7 v 83.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 55.0% in the 1 Lyga, while Minija holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Minija

Probability

55.0%

Model confidence

55.0%

Minija has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Neptūną KlaipėdaWWWLL

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
MinijaWWDWW

GF 19 · GA 5 · avg 3.80/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Neptūną KlaipėdaMinija
47.4Attack88.3
64.9Defence81.7
66.7Form86.7
61.7Power83.5
0.80xG1.70
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