GGOALVIO

Lithuania · 1 Lyga · 5/2/2026, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Neptūną Klaipėda · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Neptūną Klaipėda are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLWL), averaging 3.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Žalgiris II are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DDWWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Neptūną Klaipėda hold an 8.6-point power-rating edge (61.7 v 53.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.0% in the 1 Lyga, while Neptūną Klaipėda holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Neptūną Klaipėda

Probability

45.0%

Model confidence

45.0%

Neptūną Klaipėda has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Neptūną KlaipėdaWLLWL

GF 16 · GA 7 · avg 3.20/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Žalgiris IIDDWWW

GF 8 · GA 2 · avg 1.60/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Neptūną KlaipėdaŽalgiris II
47.4Attack51.7
64.9Defence53.3
66.7Form51.7
61.7Power53.2
1.47xG0.97
View match centre →