Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Neman are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LDLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while FC Minsk are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Minsk hold a 3.4-point power-rating edge (49.9 v 53.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 17.8% in the Premier League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 27% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
35.5%
Model confidence
17.8%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 8 · avg 0.40/1.60
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00