Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Neman · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 4-0
Neman are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Enisey are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Neman hold a 48.5-point power-rating edge (78.4 v 29.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 68.5% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Neman holds the strongest overall chance at 68% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 83% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Neman
Probability
68.5%
Model confidence
68.5%
Neman has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60