GGOALVIO

Bulgaria · Third League - Southeast · 8/8/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Botev Plovdiv II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Neftochimic Burgas are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Botev Plovdiv II are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Botev Plovdiv II hold a 73.3-point power-rating edge (15.3 v 88.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.9% in the Third League - Southeast, while Botev Plovdiv II holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Botev Plovdiv II

Probability

47.1%

Model confidence

11.9%

Botev Plovdiv II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Neftochimic BurgasWLDWW

GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Botev Plovdiv IILDLLW

GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Neftochimic BurgasBotev Plovdiv II
0.0Attack66.7
33.3Defence100.0
0.0Form100.0
15.3Power88.7
1.29xG1.77
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