GGOALVIO

Uzbekistan · Super League · 4/29/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Neftchi · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Neftchi are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Kokand-1912 are 0W-4D-1L in their last 5 (LDDDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Neftchi hold a 45.0-point power-rating edge (81.7 v 36.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 84.8% in the Super League, while Neftchi holds the strongest overall chance at 85% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 26% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Neftchi

Probability

84.8%

Model confidence

84.8%

Neftchi has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

NeftchiWWWLW

GF 9 · GA 2 · avg 1.80/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Kokand-1912LDDDD

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
NeftchiKokand-1912
80.4Attack27.1
88.2Defence50.0
82.4Form25.0
81.7Power36.7
2.73xG0.32
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