GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa Conference League · 7/22/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Neftchi Baku are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Dinamo Minsk are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 47.8 against 48.2. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.6% in the UEFA Europa Conference League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

35.6%

Model confidence

35.6%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Neftchi BakuLWLLW

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Dinamo MinskWLWDW

GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Neftchi BakuDinamo Minsk
50.0Attack27.8
33.3Defence72.2
50.0Form38.9
47.8Power48.2
1.16xG1.04
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