GGOALVIO

Necaxa logoNecaxavsAtlante FC logoAtlante FC

COMPLETED

Mexico · Liga MX · 7/17/2026, 1:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Necaxa · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Necaxa are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Atlante FC are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DDDLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Necaxa hold a 7.7-point power-rating edge (58.8 v 51.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.4% in the Liga MX, while Necaxa holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Necaxa

Probability

42.4%

Model confidence

42.4%

Necaxa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

NecaxaDWWLD

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Atlante FCDDDLL

GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
NecaxaAtlante FC
55.6Attack55.6
44.4Defence44.4
66.7Form44.4
58.8Power51.1
1.72xG1.38
View match centre →