Necaxavs
Atlante FC
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga MX · 7/17/2026, 1:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Necaxa · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Necaxa are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Atlante FC are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DDDLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Necaxa hold a 7.7-point power-rating edge (58.8 v 51.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.4% in the Liga MX, while Necaxa holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Necaxa
Probability
42.4%
Model confidence
42.4%
Necaxa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20