GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga MX U21 · 7/26/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Monterrey U21 · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Necaxa U21 are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DLDDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Monterrey U21 are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 10 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Monterrey U21 hold a 38.6-point power-rating edge (23.1 v 61.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.6% in the Liga MX U21, while Monterrey U21 holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Monterrey U21

Probability

48.6%

Model confidence

48.6%

Monterrey U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Necaxa U21DLDDW

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 5/5O2.5 2/5
Monterrey U21LLLDW

GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Necaxa U21Monterrey U21
11.1Attack50.0
33.3Defence75.0
11.1Form58.3
23.1Power61.6
0.81xG1.46
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