GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 7/14/2026, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

V-varen Nagasaki · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

NEC Nijmegen are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded, while V-varen Nagasaki are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and V-varen Nagasaki hold an 11.5-point power-rating edge (39.6 v 51.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.4% in the Friendlies Clubs, while V-varen Nagasaki holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

V-varen Nagasaki

Probability

35.4%

Model confidence

35.4%

V-varen Nagasaki has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

NEC NijmegenLLDWL

GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
V-varen NagasakiWWLDL

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
NEC NijmegenV-varen Nagasaki
26.7Attack77.8
60.0Defence22.2
26.7Form44.4
39.6Power51.1
1.59xG1.65
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