NEC Nijmegenvs
Telstar
COMPLETEDNetherlands · Eredivisie · 8/8/2026, 2:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
NEC Nijmegen are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DWLDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Telstar are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Telstar hold a 56.7-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 80.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the Eredivisie, favouring a draw with 11.6% confidence, a 63% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
25.5%
Model confidence
11.6%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40