GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Champions League · 8/11/2026, 5:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

NEC Nijmegen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

NEC Nijmegen are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDWLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Olympiakos Piraeus are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDWDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 45.3 against 45.3. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.4% in the UEFA Champions League, while NEC Nijmegen holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

NEC Nijmegen

Probability

40.8%

Model confidence

13.4%

NEC Nijmegen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

NEC NijmegenLDWLD

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Olympiakos PiraeusDDWDL

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
NEC NijmegenOlympiakos Piraeus
0.0Attack0.0
100.0Defence100.0
33.3Form33.3
45.3Power45.3
1.46xG1.25
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