NEC NijmegenvsMSV Duisburg

NEC Nijmegen are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DWLDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while MSV Duisburg are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDWLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and MSV Duisburg hold a 35.0-point power-rating edge (39.6 v 74.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.7% in the Friendlies Clubs, while MSV Duisburg holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.