Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Arkadag · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-2
Nebitci are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WWLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Arkadag are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Arkadag hold a 53.9-point power-rating edge (35.9 v 89.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 84.7% in the Ýokary Liga, while Arkadag holds the strongest overall chance at 85% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Arkadag
Probability
84.7%
Model confidence
84.7%
Arkadag has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80
GF 12 · GA 3 · avg 2.40/0.60