Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Nebitci · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Nebitci are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Aşgabat are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Nebitci hold a 6.0-point power-rating edge (35.9 v 29.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.9% in the Ýokary Liga, while Nebitci holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Nebitci
Probability
38.9%
Model confidence
38.9%
Nebitci has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 13 · avg 0.80/2.60
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00