Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Navbahor · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Navbahor are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DDLDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Xorazm are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLD), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Navbahor hold an 18.4-point power-rating edge (62.1 v 43.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 63.0% in the Super League, while Navbahor holds the strongest overall chance at 63% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 40% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Navbahor
Probability
63.0%
Model confidence
63.0%
Navbahor has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40