Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Navbahor · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Navbahor are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Sogdiana are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLDL), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Navbahor hold a 17.1-point power-rating edge (62.1 v 44.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 66.3% in the Super League, while Navbahor holds the strongest overall chance at 66% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Navbahor
Probability
66.3%
Model confidence
66.3%
Navbahor has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60
GF 10 · GA 12 · avg 2.00/2.40