Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Navbahor · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Navbahor are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDLDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Qizilqum are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Navbahor hold a 19.9-point power-rating edge (62.1 v 42.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 64.2% in the Super League, while Navbahor holds the strongest overall chance at 64% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Navbahor
Probability
64.2%
Model confidence
64.2%
Navbahor has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80