Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Pelister · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Navbahor are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LDDLD), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Pelister are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (LDDDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 51.4 against 51.9. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.3% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Pelister holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Pelister
Probability
37.3%
Model confidence
37.3%
Pelister has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60