Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Navbahor · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Navbahor are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Buxoro are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Navbahor hold a 3.6-point power-rating edge (62.1 v 58.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.7% in the Super League, while Navbahor holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 34% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Navbahor
Probability
42.7%
Model confidence
42.7%
Navbahor has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
GF 3 · GA 2 · avg 0.60/0.40