Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Navbahor · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Navbahor are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWDDL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Bunyodkor are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Navbahor hold a 15.8-point power-rating edge (60.8 v 45.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 19.0% in the Super League, while Navbahor holds the strongest overall chance at 62% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 32% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Navbahor
Probability
61.7%
Model confidence
19.0%
Navbahor has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20
GF 3 · GA 11 · avg 0.60/2.20