GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie B · 5/10/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Nautico Recife · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Nautico Recife are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLW), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while America Mineiro are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLD), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Nautico Recife hold a 16.1-point power-rating edge (48.1 v 32.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 55.7% in the Serie B, while Nautico Recife holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 30% BTTS chance and 29% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Nautico Recife

Probability

55.7%

Model confidence

55.7%

Nautico Recife has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Nautico RecifeDWLLW

GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
America MineiroLLDLD

GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Nautico RecifeAmerica Mineiro
39.7Attack23.8
60.3Defence47.6
41.3Form17.5
48.1Power32.0
1.41xG0.49
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