GGOALVIO

USA · Major League Soccer · 3/21/2026, 10:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Nashville SC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-0

Highconfidence

Nashville SC are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Orlando City SC are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 3.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Nashville SC hold a 36.1-point power-rating edge (72.7 v 36.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 87.2% in the Major League Soccer, while Nashville SC holds the strongest overall chance at 87% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 82% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Nashville SC

Probability

87.2%

Model confidence

87.2%

Nashville SC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Nashville SCWWDWL

GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Orlando City SCWLLLL

GF 6 · GA 16 · avg 1.20/3.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Nashville SCOrlando City SC
68.4Attack55.6
73.7Defence13.0
75.4Form37.0
72.7Power36.6
4.07xG0.77
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