GGOALVIO

USA · Major League Soccer · 5/24/2026, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Nashville SC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Mediumconfidence

Nashville SC are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDDW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while New York City FC are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWWLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Nashville SC hold an 18.7-point power-rating edge (72.7 v 54.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.1% in the Major League Soccer, while Nashville SC holds the strongest overall chance at 65% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Nashville SC

Probability

65.0%

Model confidence

12.1%

Nashville SC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Nashville SCWWDDW

GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
New York City FCDWWLL

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Nashville SCNew York City FC
68.4Attack57.4
73.7Defence55.6
75.4Form48.1
72.7Power54.0
2.09xG0.83
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